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2024-12-13 04:50:10

Ministry of Health of Gaza: Since October 7, 2023, 44,758 Palestinians have been killed and 106,134 injured in Israeli military attacks on the Gaza.Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry: In the first November, the sales volume of live pigs was 7,825,500, and the sales income was about 16.773 billion yuan. Dekang Agriculture and Animal Husbandry announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on December 9 that the sales volume of live pigs in November was 892,800, and the sales income was about 2.036 billion yuan. From January to November, the sales volume of live pigs was 7.8255 million, and the sales income was about 16.773 billion yuan.Media: El Salvador will change its pioneering bitcoin practice in exchange for IMF transactions. According to media reports, two people familiar with the matter revealed that El Salvador is expected to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a loan plan of 1.3 billion US dollars in the next two to three weeks. In exchange, El Salvador will change its pioneering practice of using bitcoin as legal tender and reduce the government deficit. A delegation of the International Monetary Fund has arrived in San Salvador to finalize the details of the agreement with the government. People familiar with the matter said that the transaction is expected to release another $1 billion in loans from the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank in the next few years. This loan plan must be approved by the board of directors of the International Monetary Fund, which will enable this Central American country to return to the international financial circle after several years of relative isolation. The country passed a law in June 2021, making it the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. However, the International Monetary Fund opposes El Salvador's adoption of digital currency on the grounds that financial stability and integrity are at risk, and urges the government to stop accepting cryptocurrency as legal tender.


Huaxi Securities Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December: The policy strength showed an upward trend. The Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that the release signal of this meeting was positive. Judging from the significant strength of Hong Kong stocks and A50 futures, the content of the meeting greatly exceeded previous market expectations. There are mainly the following aspects: First, the policy tone is more positive. "Strengthening unconventional countercyclical adjustment", which is used to describe countercyclical adjustment for the first time, reflects the upward trend of policy strength. The policy of this year's two sessions is expressed as "strengthening countercyclical and cross-cyclical adjustment of macro policies", the Politburo meeting in July "strengthening countercyclical adjustment" and the Politburo meeting in September "strengthening countercyclical adjustment". From the point of view of change, it gradually turns to counter-cycle instead of cross-cycle, and the intensity is constantly upgrading. Create a follow-up policy for the market that may continue to be introduced until the economy stabilizes and rebounds. At the same time, the meeting did not mention "coordinating the expansion of domestic demand and deepening the structural reform of the supply side", but directly mentioned the expansion of domestic demand, which is also a manifestation of facing the problem more directly and attaching importance to the demand side. Second, as far as finance and money are concerned, this meeting mentioned "implementing a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy", and the modifier "more" was added in front of the active fiscal policy. A similar expression was found in the Politburo meeting in April 2020, "The active fiscal policy should be more active and promising", and then in May, the two sessions formulated a large-scale fiscal combination boxing (deficit ratio 3.6%+, 3.75 trillion new special debts and 1 trillion special national debts). The third is to stabilize the property market and write the stock market into the 2025 goal. The fourth is to pay attention to consumption. The meeting mentioned "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions". It is expected that the policy of promoting consumption will make a breakthrough in scale and direction. Fifth, the meeting also mentioned science and technology (to lead the development of new quality productive forces with scientific and technological innovation and build a modern industrial system), green (to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the overall green transformation of economic and social development) and foreign trade. Emphasizing science and technology, it is clear that the direction of future policy is in the industrial direction led by science and technology. At the same time, for green, because next year is the last year of the 14 th Five-Year Plan, emission reduction and other targets need to be completed. In terms of foreign trade and foreign investment, the meeting mentioned that "it is necessary to expand high-level opening to the outside world and stabilize foreign trade and foreign investment".CITIC Jiantou interprets the Politburo meeting in December: it opens up the market's expectation of monetary easing space in 2025. CITIC Jiantou Research Report pointed out that there are six obvious expressions of the positive signal of the Politburo meeting in December: 1. "Implementing a more active and promising macro policy"; 2. "Stabilize the property market and stock market"; 3. "Strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment"; 4. "We should vigorously boost consumption"; 5. "More active fiscal policy"; 6. "moderately loose monetary policy". The most concerned is the last expression, "moderately loose monetary policy". For most of the time, the Politburo used the word "steady" to describe the currency. This time, it adopted the rare "moderate easing", which opened the market's expectation for the monetary easing space in 2025. The "liquidity trap" recently discussed in the market does not apply to China, and monetary easing can solve a considerable part of the problem of weak domestic demand. From the perspective of trend, observing the future domestic demand trend of China, what needs to be tracked most is the currency. From the short-term emotional point of view, "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will become a short-term market trading point.Hua Fu Securities Interpretation of the Politburo Meeting in December: More incremental policies can be expected in the future. The Hua Fu Securities Research Report pointed out that the Politburo Meeting in December decided to implement more active and promising macro policies in economic work next year, which released major signals to the market, including: First, it proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy, which was also proposed in response to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Second, it is proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which is more positive than the previous statement. Moreover, from the historical experience, the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China after the last financial crisis in 2009-2010 has significantly enhanced its support for economic growth. This change in expression will send a clearer and clearer policy signal to the market. Third, it is proposed for the first time to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and more incremental policies can be expected in the future. Fourth, after the policy adjustment, the expansion of domestic demand will be put in the first place, which highlights the importance and policy determination of expanding domestic demand next year. The follow-up consumption promotion policy may exert its efforts in many aspects, such as continuously promoting the trade-in of consumer goods, introducing incremental measures related to service consumption, and improving the support and protection of low-and middle-income people. Fifth, it is clearly proposed to stabilize the property market stock market, which will help to continuously consolidate the momentum of stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and give full play to the important functions of the capital market.


Market news: Mohammed Al Bashir will form a transitional government.The British Chancellor of the Exchequer called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain. It is reported that during his landmark visit to Brussels, British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves called on the EU to remove "unnecessary" trade barriers to Britain in order to promote economic growth. She said that in view of the fact that both Britain and the European Union are "struggling" in terms of economic growth, her goal is to persuade finance ministers of various countries to improve their post-Brexit relations. She said: "The first task of this government is to develop the economy ... and see the improvement of people's living standards. The fact is that these unnecessary trade barriers will lead to a decline in living standards and make it more difficult for British companies to be competitive on the global stage. " She added: "We all want to see our economy grow faster and be more competitive in the world ... One way to achieve this goal is to reduce some trade barriers. This is one of the arguments I will put forward when I meet my European counterparts today. "Zhongtai Futures: Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary, Zhongtai Futures (01461) announced that Wei Weifeng resigned as the joint company secretary of the company and the company's agent (legal process agent) for receiving legal process documents and notices in China and Hong Kong according to Part 16 of the Companies Ordinance, Chapter 622 of the Laws of Hong Kong, with effect from December 10, 2024. Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary and legal representative, with effect from December 10, 2024.

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